Rental Demand Migrates Toward Lower-Cost US Markets

Rental demand is shifting toward lower-cost markets as renters search beyond their metros and home prices keep buyers on the sidelines.
Rental demand is shifting toward lower-cost markets as renters search beyond their metros and home prices keep buyers on the sidelines.
  • Buffalo, Chicago, and Houston recorded the largest growth in out-of-town rental searches on Zillow, followed by New Orleans and Dallas.
  • August rents rose month over month for the first time in four years, Apartment List reported, though they remained below August 2025.
  • Zillow views rising outside-metro rental interest as a potential pipeline for later home sales in markets with lower purchase prices.
Key Takeaways

CNBC reports that renter search patterns are shifting as high home prices keep more households on the purchase sidelines. Zillow data in its report on shifting rental searches show Buffalo, Chicago, and Houston posted the strongest growth in out-of-town interest. New Orleans and Dallas followed, indicating that renters are increasingly looking beyond their current metros for lower-cost options.

Out-of-Town Searches Gain Share

Some established in-migration markets now receive more rental searches from outsiders than local users. Zillow found that Salt Lake City, Raleigh, Hartford, and Nashville have all crossed that threshold.

Zillow chief economist Mischa Fisher said renting often serves as a trial period before a household commits to a new community. Rising outside-metro search share can therefore signal a developing pipeline of future residents. Fisher specifically pointed to the year-over-year surge in Buffalo and Chicago as a sign that more newcomers may follow.

Affordability Shapes the Search Map

The markets attracting the most renter interest also carry lower home prices. The National Association of Realtors put the national median existing-home sale price at $434,100 in July. Realtor.com data show Buffalo, Chicago, and Houston below that national median.

That affordability gap is redirecting rental housing demand toward markets where households can stretch their budgets further. Fisher said strong inflows into smaller markets often reflect price differences. Moves toward major metros can instead reflect regional pull from jobs and other opportunities.

Rents Turn Up Again

Rents had eased for several years as new apartment supply reached many markets. Apartment List reported that August rents increased month over month for the first time in four years. They were still slightly below August 2025, so the shift does not yet represent a broad return to rapid rent growth.

The change does raise the stakes for renters already priced out of homeownership. If rents continue firming while purchase prices stay elevated, searching across metro boundaries becomes another way to manage monthly housing costs.

Zillow treats rental demand as a leading indicator for home sales. That makes today’s search patterns relevant beyond apartment leasing. Markets attracting new renters can build a pool of households that may later consider buying locally if affordability and employment conditions support a move.

New York Renters Keep Looking South

Most out-of-town Zillow searches come from neighboring states. New York City is the notable exception. Renters there continue directing searches toward the Sun Belt, including Raleigh and the Florida markets of Miami, Orlando, and Tampa.

The South still offers a large pool of relatively affordable renter markets after the pandemic migration wave. RentCafe placed 37 Southern cities among its top 50 cities for renters. McKinney, Texas, ranked first, followed by Huntsville, Alabama, and Austin, Texas. The ranking considers cost of living, renter income growth, and employment growth.

Those rankings do not mean every renter is moving south. Buffalo and Chicago led the growth in out-of-town search interest. The mix shows that affordability is opening several migration paths rather than producing one dominant regional destination.

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