- Apartment demand and rent growth are weakening in some major cities due to slow hiring and layoffs.
- Heavy new supply and increased concessions are further pressuring rent growth in job-sensitive markets.
- San Francisco and New York buck the trend with stronger rent growth tied to tech and low supply.
- Landlords report a challenging outlook, particularly in West Coast and Sun Belt markets.
Rent Growth Slows in Key Markets
Apartment demand is slipping in major US cities where job markets have lost momentum, according to leading multifamily owners. Executives from Essex Property Trust and Equity Residential noted that cities such as Seattle and Los Angeles saw demand flatten in the latter half of 2025 as hiring slowed and layoffs increased. The combination of weak employment, elevated apartment supply, and heavier use of concessions is putting pressure on rent growth. CoStar reports that data from Apartments.com show annual rent growth remains subdued in Western and Southern markets, affected by supply increases.
Job-Sensitive Cities Feel Impact
Slowing employment is especially visible in cities with large federal or entertainment industry footprints. Federal government employment nationwide has declined by more than 300,000 positions since late 2024, while Los Angeles apartment demand remains constrained by continued weakness in the entertainment sector. In Seattle, softer leasing activity and below-expectation rent growth have been fueled by tech-sector layoffs and a recent wave of new deliveries, a dynamic playing out even as the city remains a focal point for multifamily investors tracking shifting renter preferences and supply trends. Landlords in these markets have leaned more heavily on concessions to preserve occupancy but anticipate some stabilization as construction activity eases.
San Francisco Emerges as Outlier
While much of the West Coast faces stagnation, San Francisco and New York are outperforming. San Francisco posted the highest monthly rent increase nationwide in January, attributed to tech job growth and a lack of new supply. Essex Property Trust leaders cited robust Northern California demand due to ongoing technology expansion and favorable migration trends. This resilience stands in contrast to more supply-constrained and employment-challenged cities where apartment demand continues to lag.
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