Commercial Investing Outlook Remains Unchanged

Commercial real estate investing in 2026 mirrors 2025, with LaSalle IM focusing on stable, income-driven assets like IOS and housing.
Commercial real estate investing in 2026 mirrors 2025, with LaSalle IM focusing on stable, income-driven assets like IOS and housing.
  • Commercial investing in 2026 resembles 2025, with mixed optimism and uncertainty.
  • LaSalle IM prioritizes industrial outdoor storage and affordable housing in its investment strategy.
  • A sector-wide recovery is predicted, but expectations are for a slow and uneven rebound.
  • LaSalle avoids volatile sectors like office, life science, and data centers.
Key Takeaways

Cycle Patterns Persist

According to the Commercial Property Executive, commercial investing in 2026 is marked by similar themes that dominated the market a year earlier. LaSalle Investment Management leaders acknowledged this sense of déjà vu in a recent press conference, emphasizing that while some trends carry over from 2025, unique factors are influencing this year’s strategy.

Current concerns include global economic and geopolitical uncertainty, a visible slowdown in new construction, and rising vacancy rates. However, solid capital raising and steady appraisal values across most asset classes provide some optimism for investors.

Global direct investment volumes rose 21% year-over-year as of YTD 2025, with the Americas leading at +26%, followed by EMEA at +22% and Asia Pacific at +6%.

Uneven Sector Recovery

LaSalle’s research points to a cautious, gradual recovery for the sector overall. Green Street forecasts suggest average revenues could rise to nearly $125 PSF in 2026, about 4% above the prior year. Even so, future gains will depend on sustained rent growth and positive supply fundamentals across asset types.

The firm sees opportunity in industrial outdoor storage and affordable housing, citing broad and persistent demand. Sectors like logistics, self storage, medical offices, and transitional lending hold selective appeal, with LaSalle adapting its allocations based on prevailing vacancy rates.

Green Street projects continued RevPAF growth across US CRE sectors through 2029, with 2026 forecasted to be ~4% above 2025 levels.

Strategic Shifts in Allocation

LaSalle IM’s 2026 approach avoids riskier segments, skipping office, life science, and data centers amid ongoing volatility. The focus remains on income-driven properties, as management prioritizes stable cash flows over potential long-term appreciation. This aligns with the firm’s recent capital commitments to industrial strategies that blend multifamily lending and logistics-oriented assets.

LaSalle’s leaders note that recovery across commercial investing will be contingent on effective capital deployment and on solidifying fundamentals in prioritized asset types.

Vacancy rates remain elevated in office and retail sectors in both the US and Canada, while industrial and apartment assets show stronger long-term stability.

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