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Investor Caution and Capital Constraints Define 2025 CRE Outlook

Capital raising is harder for CRE firms in 2025 as investors grow cautious and strategies shift toward multifamily and diversification.
Capital raising is harder for CRE firms in 2025 as investors grow cautious and strategies shift toward multifamily and diversification.
  • 44% of firms have changed investment plans, favoring new asset classes and geographic regions in response to volatility.
  • Income-stable assets like multifamily and mixed-use dominate 2025 priorities, with 84% of respondents focusing on these categories.
  • Capital raising is challenging for 58% of firms, with increased investor concerns and a demand for transparency driving more frequent updates.
  • Opportunistic strategies lead, with 48% targeting undervalued or distressed assets amid ongoing market uncertainty.
Key Takeaways

A turbulent start to 2025

The 2025 commercial real estate market opened on a cautious note, shaped by high interest rates, persistent inflation, and volatile investor confidence. According to a new sentiment report from Agora and Talker Research, 44% of surveyed U.S. firms have already adjusted their strategies to navigate this shifting landscape.

overall sentiment

Realignment in strategy

Among those firms making changes, nearly half are exploring new asset classes (49%) and expanding into new regions (48%). Meanwhile, 44% have slowed acquisitions, and 26% are pursuing smaller deals. The Southwest stands out, with 82% of firms there pivoting to new asset types—far more than the 18% doing so in the West.

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Graph 3 overall

Multifamily remains king

Stable, income-generating assets are taking center stage. 51% of firms are prioritizing multifamily, while 33% are targeting mixed-use properties. Only 8% are pursuing hospitality. Regional differences are stark: in the Southwest, 65% are focused on multifamily, and 50% on mixed-use—well above other areas.

graph 5

Where the money’s going

The Southeast and Southwest are hot investment targets, drawing 28% and 26% of firms respectively. Millennials lead this charge, with strong preferences for these regions. Nationwide investment strategies also appeal to Gen Z, with 44% indicating a broad approach.

Investors demand more data, more often

Capital remains difficult to raise—58% say it’s gotten harder—and investors are increasingly vigilant. 76% are concerned about volatility, while 31% are specifically asking for transparent performance metrics. Weekly updates are now the norm for 38% of firms, a sign of increased communication pressure.

Opportunism with a dose of realism

48% of firms describe their current investment posture as opportunistic, looking for undervalued or distressed assets. Only 25% are aggressive, while 17% have adopted a defensive stance and 10% are on hold entirely.

Recession fears and readiness

While 45% do not expect a U.S. recession in 2025, 38% think one is likely. If it occurs, 41% of firms will target distressed buying, and another 40% will double down on asset management. Just 14% said they would pause acquisitions altogether.

Looking ahead

The industry doesn’t expect uncertainty to fade soon. Most anticipate at least another 6 to 12 months of volatility, with only a few betting on shorter recovery timelines. As one firm put it, staying nimble and informed may be the best strategy in this high-stakes market.

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